White House credits Trump for crime decline; BJS figures remain preliminary
Published by BriefDash · · Toronto
On October 27, the White House credited President Donald Trump’s policies for falling crime. The BJS report it cites estimates that serious nonfatal violent victimization, excluding simple assault, fell from 9.9 to 7.4 per 1,000 U.S. residents aged 12 or older between 2024 and 2025. BJS labels the 2025 figures preliminary and warns against comparisons with the legacy survey. The administration’s explanation of the decline remains a claim.
Why it matters
The survey covers incidents reported and not reported to police and excludes homicide. Final 2025 estimates are expected in 2027.
The White House · A statement by its author; it is not independent confirmation of every claim.
Source dated · The White House ↗
White House statement dated October 27, checked against BJS’s October 26 report: https://bjs.ojp.gov/library/publications/preliminary-victimization-estimates-ncvs-2025
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